This election poll continues a trend which has been happening for the past four months. Where Labor support has increased. While the Liberal vote has decreased. At first, this saw the two parties neck and neck. Now, the latest poll shows that Labor are ahead in this race. This increase in Labor’s popularity is reflected in the primary vote. Where its results are 3.6% above that of what they had in the 2013 election.
Here is a breakdown of the latest primary vote projections. The Liberal-Nationals have 41% of the vote. That is down by 4.6% on the 2013 election. The Labor primary vote share is on 37%. Down, as stated, 3.6% of the vote share at the 2013 election. This emphasises the growing trend of support for Labor. And the decline of the Liberal-National vote.
The decline of the Liberal-National vote can be explained. The poll shows that 63% of voters thought that the Liberal Party was out of touch with ordinary people. Where a further 66% of voters thought that the Liberal Party was too close to business. Therefore, it can be suggested that the Labor Party is not essentially increasing it’s vote share because of it’s policies. But rather, the Liberals are losing the vote share because of their policies.
The current election polling shows that the Labor Party now have an edge over the Liberal National Coalition. If the same trend continues over the last two weeks of this election, the trend of Labor increasing its vote share, while the Liberal-Nationals decrease their vote share, then we may still be looking at a hung parliament. But, a hung parliament with a stronger Labor vote, and a weaker Liberal-National one.