Political Odds Two Months Before

It’s roughly two months before the election.  While the debates have not started yet, Americans can see a trend in its news coverage and social media.  Hillary has been the presumptive winner of this election since 2012.  The Republican Party has not reformed since the end of the Bush administration, and the party has not been able to work together in such a way they can bring about a national candidate.  Don

Hillary has been the presumptive winner of this election since 2012.  The Republican Party has not reformed since the end of the Bush administration, and the party has not been able to work together in such a way they can bring about a national candidate.

Donald Trump is a media hound.  All press is good press, according to some people and he lives by that mantra.  It seems as though he courts controversy, especially during weeks he does nothing extraordinary.  He’s not a politician and is only now starting to surround himself with politicians who can help him with the important things, like running a country.

The third party candidates, and in this instant while looking at odds I am combining them, are not a force to be reckoned with because the way the US Election laws are written.  Having to have 15% polling in multiple polls to get on the presidential debate stage is ridiculous.  One does not change the election landscape without exposure, and the third party candidates are not legally allowed to have the same free publicity that other presidential candidates are allowed.

This week Hillary is given a +7 Lead over Trump, including and excluding the third party candidates by USA Today.  Hillary is given a +7 lead against Trump and a +5 lead over Trump, Johnson, and Stein by Franklin Marshall.  Trump is given a +1 lead over Hillary, Johnson, and Sten by the Rasmussen Reports.  At this point, it’s Hillary’s race to lose.

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