Senate Elections US Election Betting #3

The US Senate is the second chamber in the US Congress.  This chamber consists of 100 elected Senators, two from each state.  This year 34 Senate Seats are up for election.

Currently, there are 54 Republicans and 44 Democrats in the Senate with two Independents.

At this point, most major networks give the Democrats a 60% chance of winning the Senate.

This is important.  The way laws are passed in the United States is that any bill has to pass both the House of Representatives and the Senate.  Also, the Senate confirms judicial appointments.  Having the Democrats in charge of the House would be very good for passing a Democratic agenda.

Most think the Illinois and Wisconson will switch from a Republican to a Democratic Senator.  Most analysts see Indiana, Missouri, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Nevada, and Pennsylvania’s races as toss-ups.

This doesn’t give the Democrats much of a lead.  At the very least the Republicans may maintain a small majority and lose the Senate in 2018.  Neither party will end up with a large majority.

With the recent events in both the Trump and Clinton campaigns, and the latest polling putting either candidate at +1 it seems that more Americans will be going to the polls.  This will be great for the Clinton campaign if this is everyone.  Clinton needs a large turn-out of voters to show the Trumps supporters that the election isn’t rigged.

Trump is going to want a large turn-out as well to show that the election IS rigged when he doesn’t win.  This large group of people out voting is going to make House and Senate races interesting because there isn’t the data out there to back-up who is going to vote, and who they will vote for.

If I were to make a bet on this Senate race I would put a small amount of money on the Democrats retaking the Senate.

7 Comments on Senate Elections US Election Betting #3

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